Benefits
Breast cancers found in women having annual mammograms over 10years*1Ages 40–49 | About 19 out of 1,000 women |
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Ages 50–59 | About 30 out of 1,000 women |
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Ages 60–69 | About 44 out of 1,000 women |
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*Based on the best available evidence (evidence quality: moderate to high)
Breast cancer deaths over 10 years with or without annual mammograms*1? | Women who have mammograms | Women who don't have mammograms | Mammograms making a life-saving difference |
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Ages 40–49 | About 3 out of 1,000 will die of breast cancer | Between 3 and 4 out of 1,000 will die of breast cancer | For less than 1 out of 1,000 women |
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Ages 50–59 | About 6 out of 1,000 will die of breast cancer | About 7 out of 1,000 will die of breast cancer | For about 1 out of 1,000 women |
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Ages 60–69 | About 9 out of 1,000 will die of breast cancer | About 13 out of 1,000 will die of breast cancer | For about 4 out of 1,000 women |
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*Based on the best available evidence (evidence quality: moderate to high)
Breast cancer diagnosis
Mammograms can find some breast cancers early, when the cancer may be more easily treated. Often a mammogram can find cancers that are too small for you or your doctor to feel.
Take a group of women who have a mammogram every year for 10 years.1
- About 19 out of 1,000 women ages 40 to 49 will be diagnosed with breast cancer. This means that about 981 won't.
- About 30 out of 1,000 women ages 50 to 59 will be diagnosed with breast cancer. This means that about 970 won't.
- About 44 out of 1,000 women ages 60 to 69 will be diagnosed with breast cancer. This means that about 956 won't.
Survival
Studies show that a small number of women who have mammograms may be less likely to die from breast cancer. Since the risk for breast cancer goes up as you get older, women ages 50 to 70 are more likely to benefit from having a mammogram than women who are in their 40s.
Take a group of women who have a mammogram every year for 10 years.1
- Mammograms will make a life-saving difference for less than 1 out of 1,000 women ages 40 to 49. This means that for more than 999 of them, having mammograms won't make a difference.
- Mammograms will make a life-saving difference for about 1 out of 1,000 women ages 50 to 59. This means that for about 999 of them, having mammograms won't make a difference.
- Mammograms will make a life-saving difference for about 4 out of 1,000 women ages 60 to 69. This means that for about 996 of them, having mammograms won't make a difference.
The numbers in the tables and narratives include women who are expected to be diagnosed with invasive breast cancer or an early form of noninvasive breast cancer called ductal carcinoma in situ.
Risks
False-positive test results and unnecessary biopsies with annual mammograms over 10 years*1? | Number of women who will have at least one false-positive that results in more testing (but turns out not to be cancer) | Number of women who will have a biopsy they don’t need |
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Ages 40–49 | About 613 out of 1,000 women | About 70 out of 1,000 women |
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Ages 50–59 | About 613 out of 1,000 women | About 94 out of 1,000 women |
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Ages 60–69 | About 497 out of 1,000 women | About 98 out of 1,000 women |
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*Based on the best available evidence (evidence quality: moderate to high)
Mammograms may show an abnormal result when it turns out there wasn't any cancer (called a false-positive). This means you may need more tests—such as another mammogram, a breast ultrasound, or a biopsy—to make sure you don't have cancer. These tests can be harmful and cause a lot of worry.
Take a group of women who have a mammogram every year for 10 years.1
- About 613 out of 1,000 women ages 40 to 49 will have at least one false-positive test result. This means that about 387 won't.
- About 613 out of 1,000 women ages 50 to 59 will have at least one false-positive test result. This means that about 387 won't.
- About 497 out of 1,000 women ages 60 to 69 will have at least one false-positive test result. This means that about 503 won't.
Breast cancer screening can also lead to unnecessary biopsies.
Take a group of women who have a mammogram every year for 10 years.1
- About 70 out of 1,000 women ages 40 to 49 will have a biopsy they don't need. This means that about 930 won't.
- About 94 out of 1,000 women ages 50 to 59 will have a biopsy they don't need. This means that about 906 won't.
- About 98 out of 1,000 women ages 60 to 69 will have a biopsy they don't need. This means that about 902 won't.
Mammograms may find cancers that would never have caused a problem if they had not been found through screening (called over diagnosis). But a mammogram can't tell whether the cancer is harmless. So you may get cancer treatment that you don't need.
Out of 1,000 women who are diagnosed with breast cancer during screening mammograms, experts estimate that about 190 of them may get treatment they don't need.1
The numbers in the tables and narratives include women who are expected to be diagnosed with invasive breast cancer or an early form of noninvasive breast cancer called ductal carcinoma in situ.
Understanding the evidence
Some evidence is better than other evidence. Evidence comes from studies that look at how well treatments and tests work and how safe they are. For many reasons, some studies are more reliable than others. The better the evidence is—the higher its quality—the more we can trust it. The information shown here is based on the best available evidence.1 The evidence is rated using four quality levels: high, moderate, borderline, and inconclusive.
Another thing to understand is that the evidence can’t predict what's going to happen in your case. When evidence tells us that 2 out of 100 people who have a certain test or treatment may have a certain result and that 98 out of 100 may not, there's no way to know if you will be one of the 2 or one of the 98.